An Inferred Valuation Method

Jayson L. Lusk and F. Bailey Norwood

Abstract

Although estimates of people’s values for public goods are often needed to conduct costbenefit analysis, existing value elicitation methods are prone to a number of well-documented biases. We argue that some of these biases result because people derive utility from the act of saying they are willing to pay for a good. To counteract this phenomenon, we consider an approach that asks people to predict or infer others’ values for a good instead of asking people to state their own value. Both a conceptual model and results from a laboratory experiment lend support for the new approach. (JEL H41, Q51)