RT Journal Article SR Electronic T1 Predicting the Location of Deforestation: The Role of Roads and Protected Areas in North Thailand JF Land Economics JO Land Econ FD University of Wisconsin Press SP 172 OP 186 DO 10.2307/3147088 VO 77 IS 2 A1 Cropper, Maureen A1 Puri, Jyotsna A1 Griffiths, Charles A1 Barbier, Edward B. A1 Burgess, Joanne C. YR 2001 UL http://le.uwpress.org/content/77/2/172.abstract AB Using plot level data, we estimate a bivariate probit model to explain land clearing and the siting of protected areas in North Thailand in 1986. The model suggests that protected areas (national parks and wildlife sanctuaries together) did not reduce the likelihood of forest clearing; however, wildlife sanctuaries may have reduced the probability of deforestation. Road building, by reducing impedance-weighted distance to market, has promoted clearing, especially near the forest fringe. We simulate the impact of further road building to show where road building is likely to have greatest impact and where it is likely to threaten protected areas. (JEL Q23, Q28, R40)