PT - JOURNAL ARTICLE AU - Fabiosa, Jacinto F. AU - Beghin, John C. AU - Dong, Fengxia AU - Elobeid, Amani AU - Tokgoz, Simla AU - Yu, Tun-Hsiang TI - Land Allocation Effects of the Global Ethanol Surge: Predictions from the International FAPRI Model AID - 10.3368/le.86.4.687 DP - 2010 Nov 01 TA - Land Economics PG - 687--706 VI - 86 IP - 4 4099 - http://le.uwpress.org/content/86/4/687.short 4100 - http://le.uwpress.org/content/86/4/687.full SO - Land Econ2010 Nov 01; 86 AB - We quantify the emergence of biofuel markets and its impact on world agriculture using the multimarket, multicommodity international FAPRI model. The model incorporates trade-offs between biofuel, feed, and food production and consumption and international feedback effects of the emergence through world prices and trade. We shock the model with exogenous changes in ethanol demand, first in the United States, then in Brazil and other countries, and compute shock multipliers for land allocation decisions for important crops and countries. The Brazilian ethanol expansion using sugarcane has fewer consequences on existing arable land allocation than the U.S. ethanol expansion does using corn feedstock. (JEL Q17, Q42)