RT Journal Article SR Electronic T1 Forest Conservation and Slippage: Evidence from Mexico’s National Payments for Ecosystem Services Program JF Land Economics JO Land Econ FD University of Wisconsin Press SP 613 OP 638 DO 10.3368/le.88.4.613 VO 88 IS 4 A1 Alix-Garcia, Jennifer M. A1 Shapiro, Elizabeth N. A1 Sims, Katharine R. E. YR 2012 UL http://le.uwpress.org/content/88/4/613.abstract AB We investigate a Mexican federal program that compensates landowners for forest protection. We use matched controls from the program applicant pool to establish counterfactual deforestation rates. Deforestation was reduced by 50% in enrolled parcels, but expected average clearing rates without the program were low (0.8% per year), suggesting modest total avoided deforestation benefits. We test for two types of slippage: increased deforestation on other property belonging to program recipients and increased deforestation within markets where there are high levels of program participation. We find evidence of both, with substitution impacts reducing program effectiveness in common properties by about 4% on average. (JEL O13, Q24)