RT Journal Article SR Electronic T1 Modeling Shifts in Willingness to Pay from a Bayesian Updating Perspective JF Land Economics JO Land Econ FD University of Wisconsin Press SP 308 OP 328 DO 10.3368/le.85.2.308 VO 85 IS 2 A1 Czajkowski, Jeffrey R. YR 2009 UL http://le.uwpress.org/content/85/2/308.abstract AB This paper derives a structural shift empirical specification for a double-bound dichotomous choice contingent valuation methodology premised upon willingness-to-pay (WTP) shifts ensuing from a representative model of respondent Bayesian updating behavior. We demonstrate by way of data simulations that a traditional structural shift specification may often fail at estimating true WTP in this context. Further simulations demonstrate that a simple extension of the traditional structural shift model derived explicitly from our Bayesian framework can correct for much of the WTP bias, with an empirical application confirming the simulation outcomes. Finally, we investigate the relationship between strategic behavior and WTP shifts. (JEL Q26, Q50, Q51)