RT Journal Article SR Electronic T1 Will U.S. Forests Continue to Be a Carbon Sink? JF Land Economics JO Land Econ FD University of Wisconsin Press SP 97 OP 113 DO 10.3368/le.94.1.97 VO 94 IS 1 A1 Xiaohui Tian A1 Brent Sohngen A1 Justin Baker A1 Sara Ohrel A1 Allen A. Fawcett YR 2018 UL http://le.uwpress.org/content/94/1/97.abstract AB This paper develops structural dynamic methods to project future carbon fluxes in forests. These methods account for land management changes on both the intensive and extensive margins, both of which are critical components of future carbon fluxes. When implemented, the model suggests that U.S. forests remain a carbon sink through most of the coming century, sequestering 128 Tg C y−1. Constraining forestland to its current boundaries and constraining management to current levels reduce average sequestration by 25 to 28 Tg C y−1. An increase in demand leads to increased management and greater sequestration in forests. The results are robust to climate change. (JEL Q23, Q54)