RT Journal Article SR Electronic T1 Honey Bees, Almonds, and Colony Mortality: An Economic Simulation of the U.S. Pollination Market JF Land Economics JO Land Econ FD University of Wisconsin Press SP 688 OP 703 DO 10.3368/le.97.3.688 VO 97 IS 3 A1 Fei, Chengcheng J. A1 Williamson, Kendra M. A1 Woodward, Richard T. A1 McCarl, Bruce A. A1 Rangel, Juliana YR 2021 UL http://le.uwpress.org/content/97/3/688.abstract AB Motivated by increasing threats to pollinator health and increasing pollination contract fees, we develop a simulation model for the honey bee pollination and honey production market. The model, calibrated using 2015 and 2016 data, incorporates population dynamics, 15 crops, and transportation of managed honey bee colonies across several states. In our model, forage that bees need is particularly scarce, and further increases in almond acreage will have little effect on the fees paid for pollination services. However, increases in bees’ winter mortality will lead to increases in early-season pollination fees and declines in late-season fees.