RT Journal Article SR Electronic T1 How Differently Do Farms Respond to Agri-environmental Policies? A Probabilistic Machine-Learning Approach JF Land Economics JO Land Econ FD University of Wisconsin Press SP 060622-0043R1 DO 10.3368/le.100.2.060622-0043R1 A1 Coderoni, Silvia A1 Esposti, Roberto A1 Varacca, Alessandro YR 2023 UL http://le.uwpress.org/content/early/2023/10/09/le.100.2.060622-0043R1.abstract AB This study evaluates to what extent farmers respond heterogeneously to the agri-environmental policies implemented within the European Common Agricultural Policy (CAP). Our identification and estimation strategy combines a theory-driven research design formalizing all possible sources of heterogeneity with a Bayesian additive regression trees algorithm. Results from a 2015-2018 panel of Italian farms show that the responsiveness to these policies may differ substantially across farms and farm groups. This suggests room for improvement in the implementation of these policies. We also argue that the specific features of the CAP call for a careful implementation of these empirical techniques.