PT  - JOURNAL ARTICLE
AU  - Becker, Oliver
AU  - Börger, Tobias
AU  - Meyerhoff, Jürgen
TI  - Applying the contingent behavior method at the regional level
AID  - 10.3368/le.102.4.052425-0039R1
DP  - 2026 Apr 13
TA  - Land Economics
PG  - le.102.4.052425-0039R1
4099  - http://le.uwpress.org/content/early/2026/04/06/le.102.4.052425-0039R1.short
4100  - http://le.uwpress.org/content/early/2026/04/06/le.102.4.052425-0039R1.full
AB  - Contingent behavior (CB) studies typically analyze changes in recreation demand at single sites by presenting identical scenarios to all respondents. This prevents assessing demand responses under diverse future conditions and across broader spatial scales. The present study applies the CB method using a general population survey, integrating self-reported site characteristics with an experimental design to define CB scenarios. This allows recreation demand to be modeled as a function of multiple environmental attributes and analyzed regionally but requires adjusting the prediction procedure. Using data on forest recreation in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania, Germany, we propose approaches for site- and region-level predictions.