RT Journal Article SR Electronic T1 Shadow Pricing Ecosystem Services in Boreal Forests JF Land Economics JO Land Econ FD University of Wisconsin Press SP 101525-0088R1 DO 10.3368/le.103.2.101525-0088R1 A1 Wang, Shuyi A1 Bostian, Moriah B. A1 Lundgren, Tommy YR 2026 UL http://le.uwpress.org/content/early/2026/09/24/le.103.2.101525-0088R1.abstract AB Boreal forests jointly produce marketed goods and non-market ecosystem services, generating unavoidable trade-offs. We estimate shadow prices with the directional distance function (R. G. Chambers et al. 1996), endogenizing the directional vector and correcting for sampling variation via bootstrap methods. Using a county-by-year panel of Swedish forests, we find that shadow prices vary spatially and temporally yet remain generally low, implying modest opportunity costs for improving biodiversity and carbon sequestration relative to timber. Morishima elasticities further characterize substitution possibilities and least-cost paths to better environmental outcomes. The results indicate unexploited scope for conservation policy in boreal systems.