First-Stage Results
ln_PA | ln_IA | |
---|---|---|
Swing_county (t) × Presidential election year (t – 1) | 0.7009** (0.2776) | 0.9333*** (0.2634) |
Stafford, t – 1 | –0.0464 (0.0299) | 0.0524** (0.0249) |
Non-Stafford, t – 1 | 0.5365*** (0.0835) | 0.3509*** (0.0763) |
Rain, t | 0.2190*** (0.0271) | 0.2189*** (0.0241) |
Rain, t – 1 | 1.3734*** (0.0327) | 1.0109*** (0.0286) |
Rain, t – 2 | 0.4807*** (0.0289) | 0.2820*** (0.0254) |
Rain, t – 3 | –0.0586* (0.0318) | 0.0258 (0.0257) |
Income, t – 1 | 0.4188 (0.5611) | –0.8156** (0.3963) |
Loan, t – 1 | 0.0524 (0.0345) | 0.0329 (0.0213) |
Population, t – 1 | –1.8535*** (0.6184) | 0.9828** (0.4336) |
Constant | 13.4378 (9.0996) | –0.9792 (6.6762) |
N | 34,366 | 34,366 |
First-stage F-statistics | 17.26 | 11.88 |