Probit Determinants of Referendum Votes (For =1)
| Variable | Basic Model | Consequentiality Dummy Model | Consequential Model (C>2 = 1) | Inconsequential Model (C = 0) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Constant | 0.557 (0.369) | 0.190 (0.383) | 0.794* (0.480) | −0.246 (0.630) |
| Log tax amount | −0.289** (0.049) | −0.275** (0.050) | −0.375** (0.065) | −0.092 (0.085) |
| Age | −0.004 (0.004) | −0.004 (0.004) | −0.001 (0.005) | −0.006 (0.007) |
| Female | 0.337** (0.115) | 0.337** (0.116) | 0.558** (0.153) | −0.080 (0.197) |
| Some college | 0.408** (0.179) | 0.354** (0.182) | 0.250 (0.230) | 0.383 (0.323) |
| Associate’s degree | 0.326 (0.221) | 0.318 (0.226) | 0.449 (0.296) | 0.204 (0.385) |
| Bachelor’s degree | 0.516** (0.189) | 0.491** (0.191) | 0.335 (0.242) | 0.621* (0.332) |
| Graduate degree | 0.542** (0.196) | 0.559** (0.198) | 0.305 (0.259) | 0.957** (0.322) |
| Income | 0.003 (0.001) | 0.002 (0.002) | 0.004* (0.002) | 0.000 (0.003) |
| Missing income dummy | −0.454** (0.241) | −0.407** (0.247) | −0.143 (0.344) | −0.759* (0.405) |
| Ancestor | −0.430** (0.121) | −0.390** (0.123) | −0.406** (0.157) | −0.369* (0.211) |
| City water | 0.353** (0.160) | 0.350** (0.161) | 0.205 (0.202) | 0.616** (0.284) |
| Shared well | 0.338** (0.148) | 0.378** (0.150) | 0.370* (0.196) | 0.470* (0.245) |
| Spring | −0.052 (0.184) | −0.045 (0.187) | −0.127 (0.240) | 0.114 (0.313) |
| Consequential (C > 2 = 1) | 0.505** (0.118) | |||
| χ2 | 121.15** | 139.71** | 76.19** | 50.66** |
| Sample size | 591 | 591 | 354 | 237 |