Table 3

Land Values and Transfers at the District Level

VariableInside Districts (1)Inside Districts (2)Inside Districts (3)
Water transferred from home district in year prior to parcel sale (WTd(t–1))−0.0265 (0.0504)
Year t − 1 = drought year (Dt–1 = 1)0.510*** (0.127)
(WTd(t–1) × Dt–1)0.174* (0.0869)
Water transferred from home district in 2 years prior to parcel sale (WTd(t–2))−0.402** (0.155)
Year t − 2 = drought year (Dt–2 = 1)0.457*** (0.106)
(WTd(t–2) × Dt–2)0.385** (0.145)
Water transferred from home district in 3 years prior to parcel sale (WTd(t–3))−0.143 (0.103)
Year t − 3 = drought year (Dt–3 = 1)0.557*** (0.155)
(WTd(t–3) × Dt–3)0.169
Depth-to-groundwater in spring in t − 1 (feet below land surface)−0.00133 (0.00170)−0.00108 (0.00169)−0.00143 (0.00172)
Coefficient of variation in spring depth-to-groundwater in previous 5 years−0.00142 (0.00356)−0.000978 (0.00432)−0.00126 (0.00390)
Constant9.932*** (0.544)9.922*** (0.555)9.924*** (0.543)
Parcel controlsxxx
Yearxxx
District controlsxxx
Observations4,4594,4594,459
Adjusted R-squared0.4100.4130.410

Note: Robust standard errors are in parentheses. Errors are clustered at the county. Parcel controls include elevation, slope, river frontage, distance to paved roads, travel time to major cities, distance to urbanized area (population > 50,000), distance to urban cluster (population > 2,500 and < 50,000), total population within 25 square miles, % building footprint between 500 m and 5,000 m, building square footage, and soil quality.