Table 3

Flood Risk Effect on Property Prices

No Inundation
(1)
Inundation as a Control Variable
(2)
Inundation as a Moderating Variable
(3)
SFHA–0.063*** (0.019)–0.057*** (0.020)–0.042* (0.023)
Inundated–0.024 (0.023)  0.020 (0.027)
SFHA × Inundated–0.083* (0.046)
SFHA × Postflood–0.001 (0.034)  0.023 (0.031)  0.053* (0.031)
Inundated × Postflood–0.061* (0.036)–0.017 (0.032)
SFHA × Inundated × Postflood–0.121 (0.083)
Structure and location characteristicsYesYesYes
Municipality fixed effectsYesYesYes
Census block group fixed effectsYesYesYes
Year-quarter fixed effectsYesYesYes
R-squared0.7750.7760.776
Observations15,05615,05615,056
Total Marginal Effects
Preflood
   Average inside the SFHA–0.063*** (0.019)–0.057*** (0.020)
   Average inside the inundation boundary–0.024 (0.023)
   Inundated inside the SFHA–0.105*** (0.031)
   Near miss–0.042* (0.023)
   Inundated outside the SFHA  0.020 (0.027)
Postflood
   Average inside the SFHA–0.063** (0.032)–0.034 (0.028) 
   Average inside the inundation boundary–0.085*** (0.033)
   Inundated inside the SFHA–0.190*** (0.066)
   Near miss  0.011 (0.026)
  Inundated outside the SFHA  0.003 (0.025)
  • Note: The dependent variable is the natural log of the price. White (1980) robust standard errors in parentheses. Clustering at the floodplain-by-inundation-zone-by-census-tract-by-year level. SFHA, Special Flood Hazard Area.

  • * p < 0.10;

  • ** p < 0.05;

  • *** p < 0.01.