Table 6

Plot Enrollment in the Sloping Land Conversion Program (SLCP) by the end of 2002, Binomial Logit Marginal Effects

Explanatory Variables^{^a}	Levels
Explanatory Variables^{^a}	All (n = 2,004)	Autonomy (n = 1,066)	No Autonomy (n = 938)
1999 Plot Characteristics
Plot size (ha)	0.313^****	0.444^****	0.137^***
1999 income/ha (RMB)	−0.000^***	−0.000^***	−0.000
Plot affected by a disaster in 1999 (1 = yes)	0.459^****	0.449^****	0.359^****
Slope > 25°	0.247^****	0.274^****	0.123^****
Slope 15°–25°	0.091^**	0.082	0.060^*
High-quality land	−0.034	−0.062	−0.004
Low-quality land	0.053^**	0.127^***	0.000
Land rights
Responsibility or ration land	0.109^***	0.163^**	0.023
Contract land	0.201^*	0.274^*	0.021
Other	−0.062	−0.194^****	−0.012
Irrigation
Surfacewater	−0.129^****	−0.125^*	−0.064^****
Groundwater	−0.067	−0.198^****	0.073
Other	0.037	−0.170^**	0.172
Distance
To nearest road (km)	−0.014^*	−0.043^**	−0.001
To nearest gully or ditch (km)	0.014^***	0.019^***	0.003
To home (km)	0.041^****	0.095^****	0.009^*
1999 Household Characteristics
Household head age	−0.001	−0.001	0.000
Household head years of education	−0.006^*	−0.014^**	0.000
Household population	−0.013	−0.008	−0.001
Household per capita income (RMB)	0.000^**	0.000^***	0.000
Nonagricultural share of household head per capita income	−0.067^**	−0.051	−0.028
Household per capita land (ha)	−0.166	−0.198	−0.012
Household labor	0.010	−0.004	0.004
Nonagricultural share of labor^b	0.075^*	0.054	0.018
1999 Village Characteristics
Village population	0.000	0.000	0.000
Village per capita income (RMB)	0.001^****	0.001^****	0.000^**
Village per capita agricultural land (ha)	0.865^**	0.553	0.960^***
Share of village population in nonfarm wage work	1.178^****	0.778	1.349^***
Village leader years of education	0.015^**	0.010	−0.001
Village secretary years of education	0.006	−0.011	0.055^***
Village leader age	0.010^*	0.017^*	−0.016^***
Village secretary age	0.007^*	0.004	0.020^***
Institutional Factors
Number of Years village has been implementing the SLCP	0.149^****	0.175^**	−0.008
Share of village agricultural land with slope > 15°	0.294^**	0.434	0.069
Village leader worked previously at a forestry department (1 = yes)	0.052	0.098	−0.038
Village secretary worked previously at a forestry department (1 = yes)	0.384^****	0.296	0.592^***
Number of villagers working in the county-level forestry department	0.010	0.102	−0.189^***
Pseudo-R²	0.386	0.399	0.419
% correctly predicted	84.6	82.0	89.3

↵* Significant at 10%;
↵** significant at 5%;
↵*** significant at 1%;
↵**** significant at 0.1%. Statistical results are based on robust standard errors clustered at the household level.
↵a Province and township dummies were used in the model but are not reported. Marginal effects for 0, 1 variables are for a discrete change from 0 to 1.
↵b Calculated using the number of head of household laborers working part-time or full-time off-farm.