Table 9

Description of Simulation Scenarios

ScenarioDescription
BaselineAll variables at the observed values
No change in urban land valueFix per hectare urban GDP at 1989 values
No change in agricultural land valueFix per hectare agricultural GDP at 1989 values
No change in urban incomeFix per capita urban GDP at 1989 values
No change in rural incomeFix per capita rural GDP at 1989 values
No change in road densityFix road density at 1989 values
No agricultural investmentRestrict agricultural investments to be zero