Table 6

Potential Weather Impact Channel (OLS)

Dependent VariableAgricultural Production (kg/ha) (Inverse Hyperbolic Sine)Net Household Income (Inverse Hyperbolic Sine)Net Wage Income (Inverse Hyperbolic Sine)Wage Employment
(1)(2)(3)(4)(5)(6)(7)(8)
Dry spell (lag 1)−0.11**0.120.220.03
(0.05)(0.08)(0.16)(0.02)
Dry spell−0.45***−0.18***0.14 *0.02**
(0.02)(0.06)(0.07)(0.01)
Precipitation CV (lag 1)−0.250.430.84**0.14
(0.24)(0.54)(0.32)(0.09)
Precipitation CV−1.30***−0.94***0.88***0.13***
(0.08)(0.30)(0.26)(0.04)
Median temperature−1.02−0.08−0.330.342.41***2.16***0.34***0.30***
(0.84)(0.62)(0.38)(0.31)(0.65)(0.53)(0.09)(0.07)
Household controlsNoNoNoNoNoNoNoNo
Household fixed effectsYesYesYesYesYesYesYesYes
Enumerator fixed effectsYesYesYesYesYesYesYesYes
Wave fixed effectsYesYesYesYesYesYesYesYes
R-squared0.580.570.390.400.580.580.580.58
N2,2522,2522,3222,3222,3222,3222,3212,321

Sources: Trans-SEC household panel survey (waves 1–3), CHIRPS (precipitation), and ERA5 (temperature).

Note: Standard errors are clustered at the level of the precipitation data points.

  • ↵* p < 0.10;

  • ↵** p < 0.05;

  • ↵*** p < 0.01.