Table 7

Ricardian Impacts by Province under the SSP2.4-5 2041–2070 Climate Scenario ($/Acre)

British ColumbiaAlbertaSaskatchewanManitobaOntarioQuebecNew BrunswickNovia ScotiaTotal
Per-acre price (Can$)62,6253,5271,7042,52113,3938,5103,2454,1689,532
Predicted per-acre price (Can$)64,5503,6561,7292,43514,2479,2062,9223,9589,906
Predicted future price (Can$)78,3954,3412,3613,72832,37720,7116,1478,24015,607
Per- acre change (Can$)13,8456856321,29318,13011,5053,2254,2815,701
Annualized impacts (5%) (Can$)692343265906575161214285
% change2119375312712511010858
Observations3,5499,78914,4005,0447,5564,09658853045,552
  • Note: Land values have been adjusted for inflation and impacts are in 2017 Canadian dollars (Statistics Canada 2023c). Minimum 10 observations per county are required to be included; all models are pooled cross sections and include year and county fixed effects and the proximity variable.