Skip to main content
Log in

Asymmetric Behaviour of Spanish Regional House Prices

  • Published:
International Advances in Economic Research Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

In connection with the housing market, which is presently raising a great deal of concern among the general public, this paper investigates regional housing prices in Spain using variable co-integration techniques. It analyzes the asymmetric behavior in real house prices among the Spanish regions focusing on the study of the long-term relationships over time. This paper raises an important question of the national averages masking important regional asymmetries. Results indicate evidence of co-integration, which suggests a broad grouping of regions based on physical proximity or similar economic characteristics.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Institutional subscriptions

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3
Fig. 4
Fig. 5
Fig. 6

Similar content being viewed by others

Notes

  1. Housing Department (in US) or Housing Ministry (in UK)

References

  • Abelson, P., Joyeux, R., Milunovich, G., & Chung, D. (2005). Explaining house prices in Australia:1970–2003. The Economic Record, 81(255), 96–103 August.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Annett, A. (2005). Euro area policies: Selected issues. IFM country Report No.05/266, August.

  • Cancelo, J. R., & Espasa, A. (2000). Análisis cuantitativo de los precios de la vivienda: Principales resultados e implicaciones sobre el funcionamiento del mercado de la vivienda en España. Documento de Trabajo de la Universidad Carlos III, DT00-02, February.

  • Cook, S. (2003). The convergence of regional house prices in the UK. Urban Studies, 40(11), 2285–2294 October.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Davidson, R., & MacKinnon, J. G. (1993). Estimation and Inference in Econometrics pp. 700–730. New York: Oxford University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Dickey, D. A., & Fuller, W. A. (1979). Distribution of the estimators for autoregressive time series with a unit root. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 74(366), 427–431 June.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Engle, R. F., & Granger, C. W. J. (1987). Co-integration and error correction: representation, estimation and testing. Econometrica, 55(2), 251–276 March.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Eurostat. (2008).General and Regional Statistics. http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu. Date accessed January 15th, 2008.

  • Fuller, W. A. (1995). Introduction to statistical time series (pp. 546–653, 2nd ed.). New York: Wiley.

    Google Scholar 

  • García-Montalvo, J. (2001). Un análisis empírico del crecimiento del precio de la vivienda en las Comunidades españolas. Revista Valenciana de Economía y Hacienda, 2-II, 117–138 May.

    Google Scholar 

  • Girourard, N., & Blöndal, S. (2001). House prices and economic activity. Economics Department Working Papers No. 279, Paris, France: Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development.

  • Gujarati, D. N. (2004). Econometria pp. 767–803. México D.F.: McGraw-Hill.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hamilton, J. D. (1994). Time series analysis pp. 475–571. New Jersey: Princeton University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Harvey, A. C. (1990). The econometric analysis of time series (pp. 37–84, 2nd ed.). New York: MIT Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hayashi, F. (2000). Econometrics pp. 557–619. Princeton, New Jersey: Princeton University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hofman, D. (2005). Kingdom of the Netherlands–Netherlands: Selected Issues. IMF Country Report, No. 05/225, July.

  • Iacoviello, M. (2000). House prices and the macroeconomy in Europe: Results from a structural VAR analysis”. Working Paper Series 18. European Central Bank. Frankfurt am Main, Germany.

  • Jacobsen, D. H., & Naug, B. (2005). What drives house prices? Norges Bank Economic Bulletin, 05Q1, 76(1), 29–41 January.

    Google Scholar 

  • MacCarthy, J., & Peach, R. (2004). Are home prices the next bubble? Federal Reserve Bank of New York Economic Policy Review. Federal Reserve Bank of New York, December.

  • MacDonald, R., & Taylor, M. (1993). Regional house prices in Britain: long-run relationships and short-run dynamics. Scottish Journal of Political Economy, 40(1), 43–55 February.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • MacKinnon, J. G. (1996). Numerical distribution functions for unit root and cointegration tests. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 11(6), 601–618 November–December.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Martínez, J., & Maza, L. A. (2003). Analysis of house prices in Spain. Working Paper Series No. 0307, Banco de España. Madrid, July.

  • Meen, G. (2002). The time-series behaviour of house prices: a transatlantic divide? Journal of Housing Economics, 11(1), 1–23 March.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Montañés, A., & Clemente, J. (2005). Un análisis empírico del precio de la vivienda en Aragon y su relación con la renta. Estudios CESA 2005. Consejo Económico y Social de Aragon.

  • Nagahata, T., Saita, Y., Sekine, T., & Tachibana, T. (2004). Equilibrium land prices of Japanese prefectures: A panel cointegration analysis. Bank of Japan working Paper Series 04-E-9, 1-31, July.

  • ECD (2005). Recent house price developments: The role of fundamentals. OECD Economic Outlook, 78.

  • OECD (2006). Economic Survey of Ireland. Policy Brief, Paris.

  • Oikarinen, E. (2005). Is housing overvalued in the Helsinki Metropolitan Area? Keskusteluaiheita Discussion Paper, 992. The Research Institute of the Finnish Economy, October.

  • Phillips, P. C. B., & Perron, P. (1988). Testing for a unit root in time series regression. Biometrika, 75(2), 335–346 September.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Said, E., & Dickey, D. A. (1984). Testing for unit roots in autoregressive moving average models of unknown order. Biometrika, 71(3), 599–607 December.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sala, M. (2004). Reflexiones sobre la accesibilidad de la vivienda en las distintas Comunidades Autónomas. Boletín Económico del ICE, 2793, 35–46 January.

    Google Scholar 

  • Sargan, J. D., & Bhargava, A. S. (1983). testing residuals from least squares regression for being generated by the Gaussian random walk. Econometrica, 51(1), 153–174 January.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Schnure, C. (2005). United States: Selected issues. IMF Country Report, 05/258, July.

  • Terrones, M., & Otrok, C. (2004). The global house price boom. IMF World Economic Outlook, September.

  • Tsatsaronis, K., & Zhu, H. (2004). What drives housing price dynamics: cross country evidence. BIS Quarterly Review. Bank for International Settlements, 65–78, March.

Download references

Acknowledgements

This research was partially supported by the Junta de Comunidades de Castilla-La Mancha, under FEDER research project PAI-05-021. The authors are gratefully acknowledged to Jose-Maria Montero for their valuable comments. The authors are responsible for any remaining errors.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Beatriz Larraz-Iribas.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Larraz-Iribas, B., Alfaro-Navarro, JL. Asymmetric Behaviour of Spanish Regional House Prices. Int Adv Econ Res 14, 407–421 (2008). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11294-008-9166-7

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11294-008-9166-7

Keywords

JEL

Navigation